WC2026

Group stage

Probability each team finishes in its group's top 2 (auto-advance), advances as one of 8 best third-placed teams, or is eliminated. Based on 50,000 simulated tournaments.

Group of Death — Group B

competitiveness 79 / 100

Most competitive group — entropy of advance-probability distribution closest to uniform.

🇨🇦Canada100%🇧🇦Bosnia and Herzegovina100%🇨🇭Switzerland100%🇶🇦Qatar0%
All groups ranked by competitiveness
  • Group B79.2
  • Group D79.2
  • Group E79.2
  • Group F79.2
  • Group I79.2
  • Group J79.2
  • Group K79.2
  • Group L79.2
  • Group A50.0
  • Group C50.0
  • Group G50.0
  • Group H50.0

GroupA

Walkover
  • 1
    🇲🇽Mexico
    100%
    advance
  • 2
    🇿🇦South Africa
    100%
    advance
  • 3
    🇰🇷South Korea
    0%
    advance
  • 4
    🇨🇿Czech Republic
    0%
    advance
1st2nd3rd-adv

GroupB

Competitive
  • 1
    🇨🇦Canada
    100%
    advance
  • 2
    🇧🇦Bosnia and Herzegovina
    100%
    advance
  • 3
    🇨🇭Switzerland
    100%
    advance
  • 4
    🇶🇦Qatar
    0%
    advance
1st2nd3rd-adv

GroupC

Walkover
  • 1
    🇧🇷Brazil
    100%
    advance
  • 2
    🇲🇦Morocco
    100%
    advance
  • 3
    🇭🇹Haiti
    0%
    advance
  • 4
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿Scotland
    0%
    advance
1st2nd3rd-adv

GroupD

Competitive
  • 1
    🇺🇸United States
    100%
    advance
  • 2
    🇵🇾Paraguay
    100%
    advance
  • 3
    🇦🇺Australia
    100%
    advance
  • 4
    🇹🇷Turkey
    0%
    advance
1st2nd3rd-adv

GroupE

Competitive
  • 1
    🇩🇪Germany
    100%
    advance
  • 2
    🇨🇮Ivory Coast
    100%
    advance
  • 3
    🇪🇨Ecuador
    100%
    advance
  • 4
    🇨🇼Curaçao
    0%
    advance
1st2nd3rd-adv

GroupF

Competitive
  • 1
    🇳🇱Netherlands
    100%
    advance
  • 2
    🇯🇵Japan
    100%
    advance
  • 3
    🇸🇪Sweden
    100%
    advance
  • 4
    🇹🇳Tunisia
    0%
    advance
1st2nd3rd-adv

GroupG

Walkover
  • 1
    🇧🇪Belgium
    100%
    advance
  • 2
    🇪🇬Egypt
    100%
    advance
  • 3
    🇮🇷Iran
    0%
    advance
  • 4
    🇳🇿New Zealand
    0%
    advance
1st2nd3rd-adv

GroupH

Walkover
  • 1
    🇪🇸Spain
    100%
    advance
  • 2
    🇨🇻Cape Verde
    100%
    advance
  • 3
    🇸🇦Saudi Arabia
    0%
    advance
  • 4
    🇺🇾Uruguay
    0%
    advance
1st2nd3rd-adv

GroupI

Competitive
  • 1
    🇫🇷France
    100%
    advance
  • 2
    🇸🇳Senegal
    100%
    advance
  • 3
    🇳🇴Norway
    100%
    advance
  • 4
    🇮🇶Iraq
    0%
    advance
1st2nd3rd-adv

GroupJ

Competitive
  • 1
    🇦🇷Argentina
    100%
    advance
  • 2
    🇩🇿Algeria
    100%
    advance
  • 3
    🇦🇹Austria
    100%
    advance
  • 4
    🇯🇴Jordan
    0%
    advance
1st2nd3rd-adv

GroupK

Competitive
  • 1
    🇵🇹Portugal
    100%
    advance
  • 2
    🇨🇩DR Congo
    100%
    advance
  • 3
    🇨🇴Colombia
    100%
    advance
  • 4
    🇺🇿Uzbekistan
    0%
    advance
1st2nd3rd-adv

GroupL

Competitive
  • 1
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England
    100%
    advance
  • 2
    🇭🇷Croatia
    100%
    advance
  • 3
    🇬🇭Ghana
    100%
    advance
  • 4
    🇵🇦Panama
    0%
    advance
1st2nd3rd-adv